FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven
The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FC Eindhoven. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vitesse wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate FC Eindhoven (1,633) and Vitesse (1,730).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Eindhoven
4-4-2- 19Kevin Ferreira
- 9K. van Veen
- 8X. Blomme
- 6G. Beaumont
- 28R. Buifrahi
- 7H. Deenen
- 4Predrag Jevtić
- 44O. Renfrum
- 20Raf van de Riet
- 17L. Netten
- 1J. Borgmans
Vitesse
4-4-2- 9N. Bannis
- 19J. Hilterman
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 33M. Marschalk
- 24N. Markelo
- 17V. Zumberi
- 14O. Achouitar
- 55M. Steffen
- 1C. van den Berg
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Eindhoven have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Vitesse have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Dordrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 FC Eindhoven wins, 3 draws, 1 Vitesse win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | Vitesse 1-1 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2025 | FC Eindhoven 0-4 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 7, 2025 | FC Eindhoven 3-3 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Vitesse 1-1 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Vitesse vs FC Eindhoven on Feb 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Eindhoven score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Eindhoven sit 13th in Eerste Divisie (11 points from 9 matches) and Vitesse sit 8th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
A question about FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FC Eindhoven.
- Where and when is FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse played?
- FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Louwers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.