VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, Venlo
The Footlab AI model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for VVV Venlo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jong AZ wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate VVV Venlo (1,690) and Jong AZ (1,719).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
VVV Venlo
4-2-3-1- 9M. Tsigkas
- 7E. Zuliani
- 38Tristan Schenkhuizen
- 11N. Ait Mouhou
- 24M. Odriss
- 8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
- 4É. Clancy
- 14Raf Vullers
- 33G. Blancquart
- 5Lars de Blok
- 13Y. Schoonderwaldt
Jong AZ
4-2-3-1- 9B. Kovacs
- 8J. Oerip
- 6R. Robbemond
- 11T. de Wit
- 10H. de Wit
- 7Jerolldino Armantrading
- 2J. Zwart
- 3A. Natali
- 5K. Inge
- 4F. Andersen
- 1K. Zeggen
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VVV Venlo have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Jong AZ have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Roda(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 4-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 6-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VVV Venlo wins, 0 draws, 4 Jong AZ wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | VVV Venlo 1-3 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Jong AZ 0-2 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Jong AZ 3-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 8, 2024 | VVV Venlo 0-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 10, 2024 | VVV Venlo 2-1 Jong AZ | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Jong AZ 2-1 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
VVV Venlo score 2.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Jong AZ score 2.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo | 2.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Jong AZ | 2.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VVV Venlo sit 3rd in Eerste Divisie (18 points from 9 matches) and Jong AZ sit 10th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 18 |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 13 |
A question about VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for VVV Venlo.
- Where and when is VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ played?
- VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.