FC Halifax Town vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Shay Stadium, Halifax, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes FC Halifax Town the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Hartlepool. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Halifax Town vs Hartlepool?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate FC Halifax Town (1,837) and Hartlepool (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Halifax Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Hartlepool have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Derby County U21(home) | 6-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 0-10 | National League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Halifax Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hartlepool win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Hartlepool 0-1 FC Halifax Town | National League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | FC Halifax Town 0-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | FC Halifax Town 0-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Hartlepool 0-0 FC Halifax Town | National League |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Hartlepool 1-0 FC Halifax Town | National League |
| Oct 24, 2023 | FC Halifax Town 2-1 Hartlepool | National League |
Last archived meeting: Hartlepool vs FC Halifax Town on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Halifax Town score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Halifax Town | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Hartlepool | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Halifax Town sit 16th in National League (3 points from 3 matches) and Hartlepool sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Halifax Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Halifax Town vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab model makes FC Halifax Town the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Hartlepool.
- Where and when is FC Halifax Town vs Hartlepool played?
- FC Halifax Town vs Hartlepool is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Shay Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.