Match

FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Right to Dream Park, Farum

FC NordsjaellandCSKA Sofia

The Footlab AI model makes FC Nordsjaelland the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for CSKA Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Nordsjaelland wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?

FC Nordsjaelland starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,035 vs 1,933).

55%24%21%
FC Nordsjaelland winDrawCSKA Sofia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Nordsjaelland

3-4-3
  1. 11A. Lind
  2. 10P. Amoako
  3. 14Ibrahim Adel
  1. 5J. Lähteenmäki
  2. 18Justin Janssen
  3. 23R. Norheim
  4. 6M. Brink
  1. 4Noah Markmann
  2. 2P. Ankersen
  3. 25V. Nelsson
  1. 13A. Hansen

CSKA Sofia

3-5-2
  1. 28I. Pittas
  2. 10J. Zwarts
  1. 99J. Eto'o
  2. 7M. Ebong
  3. 8S. Sensi
  4. 5J. Gbamin
  5. 6Bruno Jordão
  1. 14T. Ivanov
  2. 17Á. Martino
  3. 2Pastor
  1. 21F. Lapoukhov

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:39 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Nordsjaelland have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; CSKA Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Nordsjaelland
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Malmo FF(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Viborg(away)1-4Superliga
Sep 16, 2026Vatanspor(away)3-0DBU Pokalen
Sep 13, 2026Aarhus(home)2-0Superliga
Sep 7, 2026FC Midtjylland(away)2-2Superliga
CSKA Sofia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away)1-1First League
Sep 16, 2026Lokomotiv Sofia(away)2-0First League
Sep 12, 2026Arda Kardzhali(home)4-1First League
Sep 9, 2026Levski Sofia(away)4-2Super Cup
Sep 5, 2026Spartak Varna(away)1-1First League

How many goals should we expect?

FC Nordsjaelland score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Nordsjaelland2.20.994/159/15
CSKA Sofia2.11.158/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Nordsjaelland the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for CSKA Sofia.
Where and when is FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia played?
FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia is played on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Right to Dream Park, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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