Match

Getafe vs FC Lugano: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Coliseum, Getafe

GetafeFC Lugano

The Footlab AI model makes Getafe the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for FC Lugano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Getafe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Getafe vs FC Lugano?

On Elo ratings, Getafe has 1,978 points and FC Lugano 1,958.

52%25%23%
Getafe winDrawFC Lugano win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Getafe vs FC Lugano

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Getafe

4-5-1
  1. 19E. Ünal
  1. 10M. Satriano
  2. 11Ramón Terrats
  3. 16Francho Serrano
  4. 8N. Gudelj
  5. 23O. Mangala
  1. 2D. Dakonam
  2. 24Z. Romero
  3. 22J. Mojica
  4. 21Andrés García
  1. 13David Soria

FC Lugano

3-5-2
  1. 22B. Castro
  2. 30D. Moncada
  1. 27Daniel Dos Santos
  2. 8A. Grgić
  3. 21Y. Cimignani
  4. 25U. Bislimi
  5. 2B. Karimov
  1. 6A. Papadopoulos
  2. 17L. Mai
  3. 18J. Bichsel
  1. 16D. von Ballmoos

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Getafe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Lugano have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Getafe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Malaga(home)1-0La Liga
Sep 17, 2026Real Betis(away)0-1La Liga
Sep 13, 2026Deportivo La Coruna(home)1-1La Liga
Sep 7, 2026Celta Vigo(home)1-1La Liga
Aug 31, 2026Osasuna(away)0-1La Liga
FC Lugano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Hellas Verona(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Lausanne(away)4-0Super League
Sep 16, 2026FC ST. Gallen(home)4-1Super League
Sep 12, 2026BSC Young Boys(home)2-2Super League
Sep 6, 2026FC Basel 1893(away)3-1Super League

How many goals should we expect?

Getafe score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Lugano score 3.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Getafe0.91.147/155/15
FC Lugano3.21.0411/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Getafe vs FC Lugano?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Getafe vs FC Lugano?
The Footlab AI model makes Getafe the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for FC Lugano.
Where and when is Getafe vs FC Lugano played?
Getafe vs FC Lugano is played on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Estadio Coliseum, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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