Match

FK Jablonec vs Brighton: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou

FK JablonecBrighton

The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for FK Jablonec. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brighton wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FK Jablonec vs Brighton?

Brighton starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (2,335 vs 2,082).

21%24%55%
FK Jablonec winDrawBrighton win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FK Jablonec vs Brighton

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FK Jablonec

4-4-1-1
  1. 44L. Jawo
  1. 13R. Sedláček
  2. 7V. Tchanturishvili
  3. 25S. Nebyla
  4. 36G. Kuol
  5. 21M. Polidar
  1. 18M. Cedidla
  2. 4N. Tekijaški
  3. 15D. Pavlović
  4. 23E. Sobol
  1. 1J. Hanuš

Brighton

4-2-3-1
  1. 19C. Kostoulas
  1. 13P. Groß
  2. 25D. Gómez
  3. 29M. De Cuyper
  4. 26Y. Ayari
  5. 14José María Andrés Baixauli
  1. 21O. Boscagli
  2. 44L. Vušković
  3. 24F. Kadıoğlu
  4. 4P. Struijk
  1. 1B. Verbruggen

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Jablonec have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Brighton have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FK Jablonec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Zbrojovka Brno(away)1-0Czech Liga
Oct 2, 2026Dukla Praha(away)1-0Cup
Sep 20, 2026Zlin(home)1-1Czech Liga
Sep 12, 2026Sparta Praha(away)0-2Czech Liga
Sep 9, 2026Baník Ostrava(home)3-0Czech Liga
Brighton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Sunderland(away)2-0Premier League
Sep 19, 2026Arsenal(home)3-0Premier League
Sep 16, 2026Manchester United(away)3-2League Cup
Sep 13, 2026Coventry(away)5-0Premier League
Sep 5, 2026Leeds(home)1-1Premier League

How many goals should we expect?

FK Jablonec score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FK Jablonec1.20.784/153/15
Brighton2.40.994/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about FK Jablonec vs Brighton?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FK Jablonec vs Brighton?
The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for FK Jablonec.
Where and when is FK Jablonec vs Brighton played?
FK Jablonec vs Brighton is played on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Stadion Střelnice, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FK Jablonec and Brighton

Ready to know everything about football?