FC Rostov vs Akron: prediction and stats
CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Rostov Arena, Rostov-na-Donu
The Footlab model makes FC Rostov the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Akron. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Rostov vs Akron?
FC Rostov starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rostov have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Akron have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Akron(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Rostov win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Akron win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Akron 0-4 FC Rostov | Cup |
| May 11, 2026 | Akron 1-3 FC Rostov | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | FC Rostov 0-1 Akron | Premier League |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Akron 2-3 FC Rostov | Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2025 | FC Rostov 0-1 Akron | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 28, 2024 | FC Rostov 0-2 Akron | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Rostov score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Akron score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rostov | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Akron | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Rostov vs Akron?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rostov the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Akron.
- Where and when is FC Rostov vs Akron played?
- FC Rostov vs Akron is played on October 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Rostov Arena, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.