Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala: prediction and stats
CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Makhachkala the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Krylia Sovetov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Krylia Sovetov (1,856) and Dinamo Makhachkala (1,922).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Krylia Sovetov have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Dinamo Makhachkala have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Akron(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Krylia Sovetov win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dinamo Makhachkala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov 1-4 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala 1-2 Krylia Sovetov | Cup |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov 2-0 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Dinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Krylia Sovetov | Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Dinamo Makhachkala 4-0 Krylia Sovetov | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Krylia Sovetov 3-3 Dinamo Makhachkala | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Krylia Sovetov score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Makhachkala score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Makhachkala the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Krylia Sovetov.
- Where and when is Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala played?
- Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala is played on October 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Solidarnost Samara Arena, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.