Baltika vs Zenit: prediction and stats
CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Baltika. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baltika vs Zenit?
Zenit starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (2,191 vs 1,966).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Baltika vs Zenit
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Baltika
5-4-1- 9C. Offor
- 73M. Petrov
- 7K. Shiltsov
- 26I. Belikov
- 10I. Petrov
- 2S. Varatynov
- 22M. Beveev
- 24L. Mouyokolo
- 4N. Gassama
- 77E. Ćivić
- 1E. Latyshonok
Zenit
4-2-3-1- 7A. Sobolev
- 11Luiz Henrique
- 5W. Barrios
- 20Pedro Henrique
- 10M. Glushenkov
- 14Jhon Jhon
- 31Gustavo Mantuan
- 33Nino
- 3Douglas Santos
- 28N. Alip
- 16D. Adamov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baltika have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Zenit have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Baltika wins, 1 draw, 5 Zenit wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Baltika 2-3 Zenit | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Zenit 1-0 Baltika | Cup |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Baltika 0-1 Zenit | Cup |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Zenit 1-0 Baltika | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Baltika 0-0 Zenit | Premier League |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Baltika 1-2 Zenit | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Baltika score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Zenit score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Zenit | 1.8 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Baltika vs Zenit?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baltika vs Zenit?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Baltika.
- Where and when is Baltika vs Zenit played?
- Baltika vs Zenit is played on October 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Rostec Arena, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.