FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Chemnitzer FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (2,021) and Chemnitzer FC (1,991).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Chemnitzer FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC 0-4 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 20, 2025 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-2 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 2-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 27, 2024 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-0 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 19, 2024 | Chemnitzer FC 2-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Dec 8, 2023 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 7-2 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Chemnitzer FC.
- Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC played?
- FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC is played on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 11, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsGreifswalder FC
- Apr 11, 2027BFC DynamovsAltglienicke
- Apr 11, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsBFC Preussen
- Apr 11, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Apr 11, 2027LuckenwaldevsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Apr 11, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsFSV Zwickau
- Apr 11, 2027RSV EintrachtvsHallescher FC
- Apr 11, 2027Magdeburg IIvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena