Match

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt

FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtChemnitzer FC

The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Chemnitzer FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (2,021) and Chemnitzer FC (1,991).

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win47 %
Draw23 %
Chemnitzer FC win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Luckenwalde(away)5-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026Magdeburg II(home)4-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026Tasmania Berlin(home)6-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Hallescher FC(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Chemnitzer FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(away)2-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026Hallescher FC(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026FSV Zwickau(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026BFC Preussen(home)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Chemnitzer FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Chemnitzer FC 0-4 FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost
Sep 20, 2025FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-2 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Apr 20, 2025Chemnitzer FC 2-0 FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost
Oct 27, 2024FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-0 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost
May 19, 2024Chemnitzer FC 2-2 FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost
Dec 8, 2023FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 7-2 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2.71.158/1511/15
Chemnitzer FC2.41.069/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt651022416
2Chemnitzer FC651015216

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC?
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Chemnitzer FC.
Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC played?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC is played on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and Chemnitzer FC

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