Lokomotive Leipzig vs SV Babelsberg 03: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for SV Babelsberg 03. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs SV Babelsberg 03?
Lokomotive Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; SV Babelsberg 03 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-2 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SV Babelsberg 03 3-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 3, 2023 | SV Babelsberg 03 4-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: SV Babelsberg 03 vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and SV Babelsberg 03 sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs SV Babelsberg 03?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for SV Babelsberg 03.
- Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs SV Babelsberg 03 played?
- Lokomotive Leipzig vs SV Babelsberg 03 is played on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 11, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsGreifswalder FC
- Apr 11, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsChemnitzer FC
- Apr 11, 2027BFC DynamovsAltglienicke
- Apr 11, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsBFC Preussen
- Apr 11, 2027LuckenwaldevsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Apr 11, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsFSV Zwickau
- Apr 11, 2027RSV EintrachtvsHallescher FC
- Apr 11, 2027Magdeburg IIvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena