Tasmania Berlin vs FSV Zwickau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs FSV Zwickau?
FSV Zwickau starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; FSV Zwickau have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
How many goals should we expect?
Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Zwickau score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| FSV Zwickau | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and FSV Zwickau sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs FSV Zwickau?
- The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tasmania Berlin.
- Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs FSV Zwickau played?
- Tasmania Berlin vs FSV Zwickau is played on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 11, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsGreifswalder FC
- Apr 11, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsChemnitzer FC
- Apr 11, 2027BFC DynamovsAltglienicke
- Apr 11, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsBFC Preussen
- Apr 11, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Apr 11, 2027LuckenwaldevsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Apr 11, 2027RSV EintrachtvsHallescher FC
- Apr 11, 2027Magdeburg IIvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena