Match

Tasmania Berlin vs FSV Zwickau: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin

Tasmania BerlinFSV Zwickau

The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs FSV Zwickau?

FSV Zwickau starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,818).

Tasmania Berlin win33 %
Draw25 %
FSV Zwickau win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; FSV Zwickau have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tasmania Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Luckenwalde(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)0-6Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-5Regionalliga - Nordost
FSV Zwickau
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Luckenwalde(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026BFC Dynamo(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Chemnitzer FC(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026Greifswalder FC(home)0-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost

How many goals should we expect?

Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Zwickau score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tasmania Berlin2.32.539/1512/15
FSV Zwickau2.01.7410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and FSV Zwickau sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10FSV Zwickau5212587
16Tasmania Berlin51046183

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs FSV Zwickau?
The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tasmania Berlin.
Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs FSV Zwickau played?
Tasmania Berlin vs FSV Zwickau is played on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tasmania Berlin and FSV Zwickau

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