Match

FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)GGZ Arena, Zwickau

FSV ZwickauFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for FSV Zwickau. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate FSV Zwickau (1,928) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (2,021).

FSV Zwickau win32 %
Draw24 %
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Zwickau have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FSV Zwickau
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026RSV Eintracht(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026Luckenwalde(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026BFC Dynamo(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Chemnitzer FC(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026Greifswalder FC(home)0-3Regionalliga - Nordost
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Luckenwalde(away)5-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026Magdeburg II(home)4-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026Tasmania Berlin(home)6-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Hallescher FC(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FSV Zwickau win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026FSV Zwickau 2-1 FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 8, 2025FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-2 FSV ZwickauRegionalliga - Nordost
Mar 26, 2025FSV Zwickau 3-2 FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 23, 2024FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-2 FSV ZwickauRegionalliga - Nordost
Feb 17, 2024FSV Zwickau 5-0 FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 27, 2023FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-1 FSV ZwickauRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FSV Zwickau score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FSV Zwickau2.11.8311/1511/15
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2.71.158/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FSV Zwickau sit 10th in Regionalliga - Nordost (7 points from 5 matches) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt651022416
10FSV Zwickau5212587

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for FSV Zwickau.
Where and when is FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?
FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at GGZ Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FSV Zwickau and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

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