FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)GGZ Arena, Zwickau
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for FSV Zwickau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate FSV Zwickau (1,928) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (2,021).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Zwickau have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FSV Zwickau win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | FSV Zwickau 2-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 8, 2025 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 26, 2025 | FSV Zwickau 3-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 23, 2024 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FSV Zwickau 5-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 27, 2023 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-1 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FSV Zwickau score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Zwickau | 2.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FSV Zwickau sit 10th in Regionalliga - Nordost (7 points from 5 matches) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 16 |
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for FSV Zwickau.
- Where and when is FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?
- FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at GGZ Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027Hallescher FCvsErzgebirge Aue
- Apr 18, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsLuckenwalde
- Apr 18, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsBFC Dynamo
- Apr 18, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsTasmania Berlin
- Apr 18, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Apr 18, 2027AltglienickevsBFC Preussen
- Apr 18, 2027RSV EintrachtvsHertha BSC II
- Apr 18, 2027Greifswalder FCvsMagdeburg II