Where and when is Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?

Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chemnitz, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chemnitz, Chemnitz

Chemnitzer FC

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Chemnitzer FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Chemnitzer FC (1,991) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (2,021).

Chemnitzer FC win37 %

Draw24 %

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chemnitzer FC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chemnitzer FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(away)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(home)	3-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	FSV Zwickau(home)	3-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	BFC Preussen(home)	3-0	Regionalliga - Nordost

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Luckenwalde(away)	5-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026	Magdeburg II(home)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	6-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chemnitzer FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Chemnitzer FC 0-4 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 20, 2025	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-2 Chemnitzer FC	Regionalliga - Nordost
Apr 20, 2025	Chemnitzer FC 2-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 27, 2024	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-0 Chemnitzer FC	Regionalliga - Nordost
May 19, 2024	Chemnitzer FC 2-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Dec 8, 2023	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 7-2 Chemnitzer FC	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chemnitzer FC	2.4	1.0	6	9/15	12/15
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2.7	1.1	5	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	6	5	1	0	22	4	16
2	Chemnitzer FC	6	5	1	0	15	2	16

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?: The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Chemnitzer FC.
Where and when is Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?: Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chemnitz, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.