Chemnitzer FC vs BFC Dynamo: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chemnitz, Chemnitz
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for BFC Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs BFC Dynamo?
Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chemnitzer FC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; BFC Dynamo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chemnitzer FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 BFC Dynamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | BFC Dynamo 2-2 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 1-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 2-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 14, 2024 | BFC Dynamo 0-0 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | BFC Dynamo 1-3 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Chemnitzer FC 0-4 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Dynamo score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| BFC Dynamo | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and BFC Dynamo sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | BFC Dynamo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chemnitzer FC vs BFC Dynamo?
- The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for BFC Dynamo.
- Where and when is Chemnitzer FC vs BFC Dynamo played?
- Chemnitzer FC vs BFC Dynamo is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chemnitz, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027FSV ZwickauvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Apr 18, 2027Hallescher FCvsErzgebirge Aue
- Apr 18, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsLuckenwalde
- Apr 18, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsTasmania Berlin
- Apr 18, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Apr 18, 2027AltglienickevsBFC Preussen
- Apr 18, 2027RSV EintrachtvsHertha BSC II
- Apr 18, 2027Greifswalder FCvsMagdeburg II