Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Erzgebirge Aue played?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Erzgebirge Aue: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

Erzgebirge Aue

The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Erzgebirge Aue. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Erzgebirge Aue?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,840).

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win60 %

Draw21 %

Erzgebirge Aue win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Erzgebirge Aue have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Luckenwalde(away)	5-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026	Magdeburg II(home)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	6-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost

Erzgebirge Aue
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(home)	0-4	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Chemnitzer FC(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	BFC Preussen(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 6, 2026	BFC Dynamo(home)	3-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(away)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Erzgebirge Aue win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2016	Erzgebirge Aue 2-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	3. Liga
Sep 12, 2015	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue	3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on Feb 28, 2016

How many goals should we expect?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Erzgebirge Aue score 2.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2.7	1.1	5	8/15	11/15
Erzgebirge Aue	2.5	1.8	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	6	5	1	0	22	4	16
5	Erzgebirge Aue	5	3	1	1	11	9	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Erzgebirge Aue?: The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Erzgebirge Aue.
Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Erzgebirge Aue played?: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.