Where and when is BFC Preussen vs Tasmania Berlin played?

BFC Preussen vs Tasmania Berlin is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Preußenstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

BFC Preussen vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Preußenstadion, Berlin

BFC Preussen

Tasmania Berlin

The Footlab model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BFC Preussen vs Tasmania Berlin?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate BFC Preussen (1,855) and Tasmania Berlin (1,820).

BFC Preussen win45 %

Draw25 %

Tasmania Berlin win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Preussen have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BFC Preussen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Greifswalder FC(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	Chemnitzer FC(away)	0-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026	RSV Eintracht(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost

Tasmania Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(home)	2-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Luckenwalde(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	0-6	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-5	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 BFC Preussen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tasmania Berlin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 24, 2026	Tasmania Berlin 1-4 BFC Preussen	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 12, 2025	BFC Preussen 1-0 Tasmania Berlin	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Oct 18, 2024	Tasmania Berlin 3-2 BFC Preussen	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jul 6, 2023	Tasmania Berlin 1-1 BFC Preussen	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Preussen on Jun 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BFC Preussen score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
BFC Preussen	1.6	1.7	1	9/15	9/15
Tasmania Berlin	2.3	2.5	3	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BFC Preussen sit 17th in Regionalliga - Nordost (2 points from 5 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Tasmania Berlin	5	1	0	4	6	18	3
17	BFC Preussen	5	0	2	3	4	9	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BFC Preussen vs Tasmania Berlin?: The Footlab model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Tasmania Berlin.
Where and when is BFC Preussen vs Tasmania Berlin played?: BFC Preussen vs Tasmania Berlin is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Preußenstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.