FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld, Jena
The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Lokomotive Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate FC Carl Zeiss Jena (2,004) and Lokomotive Leipzig (1,971).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Carl Zeiss Jena have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig 1-2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 1, 2025 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 15, 2024 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 20, 2023 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2-3 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Carl Zeiss Jena score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Carl Zeiss Jena sit 7th in Regionalliga - Nordost (9 points from 5 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Lokomotive Leipzig.
- Where and when is FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?
- FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2026FSV ZwickauvsHallescher FC
- Sep 20, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsErzgebirge Aue
- Sep 20, 2026BFC PreussenvsTasmania Berlin
- Sep 20, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsHertha BSC II
- Sep 20, 2026BFC DynamovsMagdeburg II
- Sep 20, 2026BSG Chemie LeipzigvsChemnitzer FC
- Sep 20, 2026AltglienickevsRSV Eintracht
- Sep 20, 2026Greifswalder FCvsLuckenwalde