Where and when is Greifswalder FC vs Luckenwalde played?

Greifswalder FC vs Luckenwalde is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion Greifswald, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Greifswalder FC vs Luckenwalde: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Volksstadion Greifswald, Greifswald

Greifswalder FC

Luckenwalde

The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Greifswalder FC vs Luckenwalde?

Greifswalder FC starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,784).

Greifswalder FC win59 %

Draw24 %

Luckenwalde win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greifswalder FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Luckenwalde have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Greifswalder FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	BFC Preussen(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 7, 2026	Altglienicke(home)	1-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Hertha BSC II(away)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	FSV Zwickau(away)	3-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026	Hallescher FC(home)	2-2	Regionalliga - Nordost

Luckenwalde
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home)	0-5	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026	FSV Zwickau(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	RSV Eintracht(away)	0-3	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Greifswalder FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Luckenwalde win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Luckenwalde 1-1 Greifswalder FC	Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 21, 2025	Greifswalder FC 0-2 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost
Mar 16, 2025	Greifswalder FC 1-0 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 21, 2024	Luckenwalde 2-1 Greifswalder FC	Regionalliga - Nordost
Mar 3, 2024	Greifswalder FC 2-2 Luckenwalde	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jan 14, 2024	Luckenwalde 1-2 Greifswalder FC	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder FC on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Greifswalder FC	2.7	1.3	4	10/15	10/15
Luckenwalde	0.9	1.7	3	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Greifswalder FC sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 5 matches) and Luckenwalde sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Greifswalder FC	5	2	2	1	11	7	8
15	Luckenwalde	6	1	0	5	5	16	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Greifswalder FC vs Luckenwalde?: The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Luckenwalde.
Where and when is Greifswalder FC vs Luckenwalde played?: Greifswalder FC vs Luckenwalde is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion Greifswald, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.