SV Babelsberg 03 vs Hertha BSC II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, Potsdam
The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Hertha BSC II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Babelsberg 03 vs Hertha BSC II?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate SV Babelsberg 03 (1,864) and Hertha BSC II (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Babelsberg 03 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hertha BSC II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Hertha BSC II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03 3-1 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Hertha BSC II 4-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Hertha BSC II 0-2 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 19, 2025 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-2 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 0-4 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-2 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: SV Babelsberg 03 vs Hertha BSC II on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC II score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Hertha BSC II | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Babelsberg 03 sit 12th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 5 matches) and Hertha BSC II sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Babelsberg 03 vs Hertha BSC II?
- The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Hertha BSC II.
- Where and when is SV Babelsberg 03 vs Hertha BSC II played?
- SV Babelsberg 03 vs Hertha BSC II is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2026FSV ZwickauvsHallescher FC
- Sep 20, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsLokomotive Leipzig
- Sep 20, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsErzgebirge Aue
- Sep 20, 2026BFC PreussenvsTasmania Berlin
- Sep 20, 2026BFC DynamovsMagdeburg II
- Sep 20, 2026BSG Chemie LeipzigvsChemnitzer FC
- Sep 20, 2026AltglienickevsRSV Eintracht
- Sep 20, 2026Greifswalder FCvsLuckenwalde