BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Chemnitzer FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-1 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 1-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-2 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Chemnitzer FC 0-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Chemnitzer FC 1-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 2, 2023 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-0 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nordost (1 points from 6 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
- The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC played?
- BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2026FSV ZwickauvsHallescher FC
- Sep 20, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsLokomotive Leipzig
- Sep 20, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsErzgebirge Aue
- Sep 20, 2026BFC PreussenvsTasmania Berlin
- Sep 20, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsHertha BSC II
- Sep 20, 2026BFC DynamovsMagdeburg II
- Sep 20, 2026AltglienickevsRSV Eintracht
- Sep 20, 2026Greifswalder FCvsLuckenwalde