Where and when is SV Babelsberg 03 vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?

SV Babelsberg 03 vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SV Babelsberg 03 vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, Potsdam

SV Babelsberg 03

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for SV Babelsberg 03. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Babelsberg 03 vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,863).

SV Babelsberg 03 win28 %

Draw22 %

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Babelsberg 03 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Babelsberg 03
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Greifswalder FC(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026	RSV Eintracht(home)	3-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 11, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Altglienicke(home)	2-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Luckenwalde(away)	5-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026	Magdeburg II(home)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	6-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-2 SV Babelsberg 03	Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 18, 2025	SV Babelsberg 03 0-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Mar 2, 2025	SV Babelsberg 03 0-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 2, 2024	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1-1 SV Babelsberg 03	Regionalliga - Nordost
Apr 7, 2024	SV Babelsberg 03 3-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 20, 2023	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-1 SV Babelsberg 03	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs SV Babelsberg 03 on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SV Babelsberg 03	2.7	2.1	2	12/15	13/15
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2.7	1.1	5	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Babelsberg 03 sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 5 matches) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	6	5	1	0	22	4	16
13	SV Babelsberg 03	5	1	2	2	8	9	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Babelsberg 03 vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?: The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for SV Babelsberg 03.
Where and when is SV Babelsberg 03 vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?: SV Babelsberg 03 vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.