BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC?
Greifswalder FC starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Greifswalder FC have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Greifswalder FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-3 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Greifswalder FC 3-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Greifswalder FC 0-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 31, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-2 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 3-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 4, 2023 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-0 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC on Dec 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Greifswalder FC score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Greifswalder FC | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nordost (1 points from 6 matches) and Greifswalder FC sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC?
- The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC played?
- BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 9, 2027FSV ZwickauvsBFC Preussen
- May 9, 2027Hallescher FCvsMagdeburg II
- May 9, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsErzgebirge Aue
- May 9, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsTasmania Berlin
- May 9, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- May 9, 2027AltglienickevsLokomotive Leipzig
- May 9, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsLuckenwalde
- May 9, 2027RSV EintrachtvsBFC Dynamo