Match

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, Leipzig

BSG Chemie LeipzigGreifswalder FC

The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC?

Greifswalder FC starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,799).

BSG Chemie Leipzig win26 %
Draw25 %
Greifswalder FC win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Greifswalder FC have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BSG Chemie Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Magdeburg II(away)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026RSV Eintracht(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026Hallescher FC(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026BFC Dynamo(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Greifswalder FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026SV Babelsberg 03(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026BFC Preussen(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 7, 2026Altglienicke(home)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Hertha BSC II(away)4-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026FSV Zwickau(away)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Greifswalder FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 14, 2025BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-3 Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2025Greifswalder FC 3-0 BSG Chemie LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Mar 26, 2025Greifswalder FC 0-0 BSG Chemie LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 31, 2024BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-2 Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Apr 20, 2024Greifswalder FC 3-0 BSG Chemie LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 4, 2023BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-0 Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC on Dec 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Greifswalder FC score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
BSG Chemie Leipzig1.11.326/155/15
Greifswalder FC2.51.3311/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nordost (1 points from 6 matches) and Greifswalder FC sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Greifswalder FC52211178
18BSG Chemie Leipzig6015181

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC?
The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC played?
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: BSG Chemie Leipzig and Greifswalder FC

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