Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara played?

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara is played on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi

Renofa Yamaguchi

Sagamihara

The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Sagamihara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Renofa Yamaguchi (1,715) and Sagamihara (1,768).

Renofa Yamaguchi win44 %

Draw26 %

Sagamihara win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renofa Yamaguchi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nara Club(away)	1-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

Sagamihara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 15, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)	4-1	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-0	J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026	Fujieda MYFC(home)	4-3	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sagamihara win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 19, 2021	Sagamihara 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi	J2 League
May 15, 2021	Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 Sagamihara	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs Renofa Yamaguchi on Sep 19, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Renofa Yamaguchi	1.5	1.5	2	11/15	9/15
Sagamihara	1.8	1.5	6	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Sagamihara sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Sagamihara	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
13	Renofa Yamaguchi	3	1	0	2	2	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara?: The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Sagamihara.
Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara played?: Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara is played on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.