Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)TOHO Stadium, Fukushima
The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Fukushima United (1,671) and Parceiro Nagano (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fukushima United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Parceiro Nagano have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fukui United(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(away) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fukushima United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Parceiro Nagano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano 1-3 Fukushima United | J2/J3 League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Fukushima United 4-2 Parceiro Nagano | J2/J3 League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Fukushima United 1-4 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Parceiro Nagano 2-0 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Fukushima United 0-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Parceiro Nagano 2-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Parceiro Nagano vs Fukushima United on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fukushima United score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fukushima United | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Parceiro Nagano | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fukushima United sit 19th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Parceiro Nagano sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 19 | Fukushima United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano?
- The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Parceiro Nagano.
- Where and when is Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano played?
- Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano is played on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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