Match

Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)TOHO Stadium, Fukushima

Fukushima UnitedParceiro Nagano

The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Fukushima United (1,671) and Parceiro Nagano (1,595).

Fukushima United win54 %
Draw24 %
Parceiro Nagano win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fukushima United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Parceiro Nagano have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fukushima United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)1-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Oyama(home)7-0Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Kanazawa(away)3-4J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)1-2J3 League
Jun 7, 2026FC Ryukyu(home)1-1J2/J3 League
Parceiro Nagano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(away)1-0J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Fukui United(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Osaka(away)2-4J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)1-0J3 League
Jun 5, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(away)0-0J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fukushima United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Parceiro Nagano win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2026Parceiro Nagano 1-3 Fukushima UnitedJ2/J3 League
Mar 8, 2026Fukushima United 4-2 Parceiro NaganoJ2/J3 League
Sep 28, 2025Fukushima United 1-4 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Mar 23, 2025Parceiro Nagano 2-0 Fukushima UnitedJ3 League
Sep 29, 2024Fukushima United 0-0 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Mar 20, 2024Parceiro Nagano 2-1 Fukushima UnitedJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Parceiro Nagano vs Fukushima United on Apr 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fukushima United score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fukushima United1.91.8211/1511/15
Parceiro Nagano0.91.176/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fukushima United sit 19th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Parceiro Nagano sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Parceiro Nagano3201446
19Fukushima United3003580

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano?
The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Parceiro Nagano.
Where and when is Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano played?
Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano is played on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fukushima United and Parceiro Nagano

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