Match

Kochi United vs Osaka: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Haruno

Kochi UnitedOsaka

The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kochi United vs Osaka?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Kochi United (1,634) and Osaka (1,714).

Kochi United win34 %
Draw30 %
Osaka win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kochi United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Osaka have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kochi United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Verspah Oita(away)0-3Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026FC Gifu(away)0-7J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(home)0-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Omiya Ardija(away)1-2J2/J3 League
Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Ryukyu(home)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Nara Club(away)4-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)4-2J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)1-1J3 League
Jul 19, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kochi United win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Osaka win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Kochi United 0-0 OsakaJ2/J3 League
Feb 15, 2026Osaka 2-2 Kochi UnitedJ2/J3 League
Nov 24, 2025Osaka 1-0 Kochi UnitedJ3 League
Mar 2, 2025Kochi United 1-2 OsakaJ3 League
Aug 28, 2022Kochi United 1-2 OsakaJapan Football League
May 28, 2022Osaka 3-2 Kochi UnitedJapan Football League

Last archived meeting: Kochi United vs Osaka on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kochi United0.81.745/159/15
Osaka1.51.4111/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kochi United sit 11th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Osaka sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Osaka3120755
11Kochi United3111284

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kochi United vs Osaka?
The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Kochi United.
Where and when is Kochi United vs Osaka played?
Kochi United vs Osaka is played on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kochi United and Osaka

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