FC Ryukyu vs Fukushima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, Okinawa
The Footlab model makes FC Ryukyu the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Fukushima United?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate FC Ryukyu (1,601) and Fukushima United (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ryukyu have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Fukushima United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 5-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 31, 2026 | Imabari(away) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ryukyu win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Fukushima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fukushima United 1-1 FC Ryukyu | J2/J3 League |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Fukushima United 3-3 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FC Ryukyu 0-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Fukushima United 0-1 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
| Jun 16, 2024 | FC Ryukyu 1-2 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Fukushima United 0-0 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Fukushima United vs FC Ryukyu on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fukushima United score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ryukyu | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Fukushima United | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Ryukyu sit 18th in J3 League (1 points from 2 matches) and Fukushima United sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | FC Ryukyu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Fukushima United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Ryukyu vs Fukushima United?
- The Footlab model makes FC Ryukyu the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Fukushima United.
- Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Fukushima United played?
- FC Ryukyu vs Fukushima United is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 3, 2027FC GifuvsRoasso Kumamoto
- May 3, 2027Matsumoto YamagavsKamatamare Sanuki
- May 3, 2027Tochigi SCvsKagoshima United
- May 3, 2027Ehime FCvsOsaka
- May 3, 2027Thespakusatsu GunmavsKanazawa
- May 3, 2027SagamiharavsRenofa Yamaguchi
- May 3, 2027Biwako ShigavsKitakyushu
- May 3, 2027Kochi UnitedvsGainare Tottori