Fukushima United vs FC Ryukyu: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)TOHO Stadium, Fukushima
The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fukushima United vs FC Ryukyu?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Fukushima United (1,673) and FC Ryukyu (1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fukushima United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; FC Ryukyu have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 5-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 31, 2026 | Imabari(away) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fukushima United win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 FC Ryukyu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fukushima United 1-1 FC Ryukyu | J2/J3 League |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Fukushima United 3-3 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FC Ryukyu 0-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Fukushima United 0-1 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
| Jun 16, 2024 | FC Ryukyu 1-2 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Fukushima United 0-0 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Fukushima United vs FC Ryukyu on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fukushima United score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fukushima United | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Ryukyu | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fukushima United sit 19th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and FC Ryukyu sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | FC Ryukyu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Fukushima United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fukushima United vs FC Ryukyu?
- The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for FC Ryukyu.
- Where and when is Fukushima United vs FC Ryukyu played?
- Fukushima United vs FC Ryukyu is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 7, 2026Matsumoto YamagavsKanazawa
- Nov 7, 2026Roasso KumamotovsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Nov 7, 2026Ehime FCvsBiwako Shiga
- Nov 7, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsOsaka
- Nov 7, 2026Gainare TottorivsTochigi SC
- Nov 7, 2026Parceiro NaganovsKamatamare Sanuki
- Nov 7, 2026SagamiharavsKagoshima United