Kagoshima United vs FC Ryukyu: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs FC Ryukyu?
Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagoshima United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FC Ryukyu have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Albirex Niigata(away) | 4-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 5-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 31, 2026 | Imabari(away) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kagoshima United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC Ryukyu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | FC Ryukyu 1-1 Kagoshima United | J2/J3 League |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Kagoshima United 3-1 FC Ryukyu | J2/J3 League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Kagoshima United 1-1 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
| May 6, 2025 | FC Ryukyu 1-2 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | FC Ryukyu 2-0 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| May 14, 2023 | Kagoshima United 2-0 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: FC Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Ryukyu | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagoshima United sit 4th in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and FC Ryukyu sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Ryukyu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagoshima United vs FC Ryukyu?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for FC Ryukyu.
- Where and when is Kagoshima United vs FC Ryukyu played?
- Kagoshima United vs FC Ryukyu is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shiranami Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.