Match

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Nara Club: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Shoda Shoyu Stadium, Maebashi

Thespakusatsu GunmaNara Club

The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Nara Club. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Nara Club?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663) and Nara Club (1,664).

Thespakusatsu Gunma win45 %
Draw23 %
Nara Club win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Nara Club have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Thespakusatsu Gunma
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)1-4Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)2-3J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Tohoku Gakuin University(away)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Sagamihara(home)1-4J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Kagoshima United(away)0-1J3 League
Nara Club
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)3-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Osaka(home)1-4Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Kagoshima United(home)1-3J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Ehime FC(away)1-4J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)2-0J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nara Club win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2025Thespakusatsu Gunma 2-0 Nara ClubJ3 League
Mar 23, 2025Nara Club 3-1 Thespakusatsu GunmaJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Nara Club on Oct 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nara Club score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Thespakusatsu Gunma1.71.9211/1511/15
Nara Club1.71.9212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Nara Club sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Nara Club3102583
20Thespakusatsu Gunma3003380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Nara Club?
The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Nara Club.
Where and when is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Nara Club played?
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Nara Club is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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