Match

Verl vs SV Meppen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl

VerlSV Meppen

The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Verl. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Verl vs SV Meppen?

SV Meppen starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (2,109 vs 1,971).

Verl win31 %
Draw24 %
SV Meppen win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; SV Meppen have 13, 0 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Verl
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)2-43. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Alemannia Aachen(away)1-43. Liga
Aug 1, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026Bremer SV(home)6-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
SV Meppen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)2-03. Liga
Aug 8, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)0-33. Liga
Jul 25, 2026Schalke 04 II(home)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026St. Pauli II(home)4-2Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Verl win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SV Meppen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2023SV Meppen 1-3 Verl3. Liga
Sep 12, 2022Verl 2-2 SV Meppen3. Liga
Jan 26, 2022Verl 0-1 SV Meppen3. Liga
Aug 21, 2021SV Meppen 2-0 Verl3. Liga
Jan 30, 2021Verl 3-1 SV Meppen3. Liga
Oct 3, 2020SV Meppen 1-2 Verl3. Liga

Last archived meeting: SV Meppen vs Verl on Mar 14, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Verl score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SV Meppen score 3.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Verl1.71.556/1510/15
SV Meppen3.11.168/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and SV Meppen sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12SV Meppen2101233
19Verl2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Verl vs SV Meppen?
The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Verl.
Where and when is Verl vs SV Meppen played?
Verl vs SV Meppen is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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