Verl vs SV Meppen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl
The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Verl. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verl vs SV Meppen?
SV Meppen starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (2,109 vs 1,971).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; SV Meppen have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 2-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home) | 2-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(away) | 0-3 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(home) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | St. Pauli II(home) | 4-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Verl win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SV Meppen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | SV Meppen 1-3 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2022 | Verl 2-2 SV Meppen | 3. Liga |
| Jan 26, 2022 | Verl 0-1 SV Meppen | 3. Liga |
| Aug 21, 2021 | SV Meppen 2-0 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Verl 3-1 SV Meppen | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2020 | SV Meppen 1-2 Verl | 3. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Verl score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SV Meppen score 3.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verl | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| SV Meppen | 3.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and SV Meppen sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SV Meppen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 19 | Verl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verl vs SV Meppen?
- The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Verl.
- Where and when is Verl vs SV Meppen played?
- Verl vs SV Meppen is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsMSV Duisburg
- Sep 12, 2026SV WehenvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Sep 12, 2026FC Viktoria KölnvsHansa Rostock
- Sep 12, 2026Rot-Weiß EssenvsWürzburger Kickers
- Sep 12, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Sep 12, 2026Alemannia AachenvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Sep 12, 2026HavelsevsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Sep 12, 2026Hoffenheim IIvsFortuna Köln