FC Viktoria Köln vs Hansa Rostock: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Höhenberg, Köln
The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for FC Viktoria Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Viktoria Köln vs Hansa Rostock?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate FC Viktoria Köln (1,899) and Hansa Rostock (1,978).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Viktoria Köln have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hansa Rostock have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stuttgart II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(home) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Viktoria Köln win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hansa Rostock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Hansa Rostock 2-3 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | FC Viktoria Köln 2-4 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Hansa Rostock 1-1 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| Aug 30, 2024 | FC Viktoria Köln 3-0 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Feb 27, 2021 | FC Viktoria Köln 1-2 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Hansa Rostock 5-1 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Hansa Rostock vs FC Viktoria Köln on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Viktoria Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Viktoria Köln | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hansa Rostock | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Viktoria Köln sit 10th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Hansa Rostock sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Viktoria Köln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Viktoria Köln vs Hansa Rostock?
- The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for FC Viktoria Köln.
- Where and when is FC Viktoria Köln vs Hansa Rostock played?
- FC Viktoria Köln vs Hansa Rostock is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Höhenberg, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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