Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg played?

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

MSV Duisburg

The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,913).

Fortuna Düsseldorf win33 %

Draw24 %

MSV Duisburg win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SC Freiburg(home)	1-5	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	0-2	3. Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Waldhof Mannheim(away)	1-2	3. Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Lask Linz(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

MSV Duisburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Elversberg(home)	1-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Verl(away)	4-2	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Meppen(home)	3-0	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Sparta Rotterdam(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 MSV Duisburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 11, 2018	MSV Duisburg 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf	2. Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2017	Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 MSV Duisburg	2. Bundesliga
Apr 29, 2016	MSV Duisburg 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf	2. Bundesliga
Nov 20, 2015	Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 MSV Duisburg	2. Bundesliga
May 6, 2012	Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 MSV Duisburg	2. Bundesliga
Dec 5, 2011	MSV Duisburg 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf on Mar 11, 2018

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fortuna Düsseldorf	2.4	1.5	3	7/15	10/15
MSV Duisburg	1.8	1.3	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
18	Fortuna Düsseldorf	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?: The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg played?: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.