Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken played?

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

FC Saarbrücken

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for FC Saarbrücken. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,911) and FC Saarbrücken (1,912).

Fortuna Düsseldorf win44 %

Draw24 %

FC Saarbrücken win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; FC Saarbrücken have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SC Freiburg(home)	1-5	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	0-2	3. Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Waldhof Mannheim(away)	1-2	3. Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Lask Linz(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

FC Saarbrücken
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	SSV Jahn Regensburg(away)	1-0	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	5-2	3. Liga
Jul 26, 2026	VfR Aalen(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Augsburg(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FC Saarbrücken win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 3, 2020	FC Saarbrücken 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf	DFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Düsseldorf on Mar 3, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fortuna Düsseldorf	2.4	1.5	3	7/15	10/15
FC Saarbrücken	1.5	1.3	5	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	FC Saarbrücken	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
18	Fortuna Düsseldorf	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken?: The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for FC Saarbrücken.
Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken played?: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.