FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ludwigspark, Saarbrücken
The Footlab model makes FC Saarbrücken the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Waldhof Mannheim. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate FC Saarbrücken (1,911) and Waldhof Mannheim (1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Saarbrücken have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Waldhof Mannheim have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(home) | 5-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Saarbrücken win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Waldhof Mannheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Waldhof Mannheim 2-1 FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FC Saarbrücken 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Waldhof Mannheim 0-1 FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Waldhof Mannheim 0-2 FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | FC Saarbrücken 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Waldhof Mannheim score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Saarbrücken | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Waldhof Mannheim sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Saarbrücken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Waldhof Mannheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim?
- The Footlab model makes FC Saarbrücken the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Waldhof Mannheim.
- Where and when is FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim played?
- FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ludwigspark, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 31, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsHansa Rostock
- Oct 31, 2026MSV DuisburgvsStuttgart II
- Oct 31, 2026SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Oct 31, 2026Fortuna KölnvsWürzburger Kickers
- Oct 31, 2026Alemannia AachenvsPreußen Münster
- Oct 31, 2026VerlvsSV Wehen
- Oct 31, 2026HavelsevsFC Ingolstadt 04