Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Würzburger Kickers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Fortuna Köln (2,039) and Würzburger Kickers (2,087).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Würzburger Kickers have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Wehen(home) | 4-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(away) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs |
| May 28, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fortuna Köln win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Würzburger Kickers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2019 | Würzburger Kickers 2-0 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Fortuna Köln 0-0 Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Würzburger Kickers 1-0 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Fortuna Köln 2-1 Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga |
| Mar 18, 2016 | Würzburger Kickers 4-1 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Fortuna Köln 0-3 Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Köln on Apr 27, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Würzburger Kickers score 2.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Würzburger Kickers | 2.9 | 0.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Würzburger Kickers sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Würzburger Kickers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Würzburger Kickers.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers played?
- Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsSV Meppen
- Oct 31, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsHansa Rostock
- Oct 31, 2026MSV DuisburgvsStuttgart II
- Oct 31, 2026SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Oct 31, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Oct 31, 2026Alemannia AachenvsPreußen Münster
- Oct 31, 2026VerlvsSV Wehen
- Oct 31, 2026HavelsevsFC Ingolstadt 04