Match

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach

SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachRot-Weiß Essen

The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach (2,055) and Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974).

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win54 %
Draw22 %
Rot-Weiß Essen win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)2-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026SV Meppen(away)0-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Fortuna Köln(home)1-03. Liga
Jul 25, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)2-7Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026VfR Aalen(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Havelse(home)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)2-53. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2.01.375/157/15
Rot-Weiß Essen2.12.157/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 13th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2101123
14Rot-Weiß Essen2101353

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Rot-Weiß Essen

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