SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach (2,055) and Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Meppen(away) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 2-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 13th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
- The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
- Where and when is SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsSV Meppen
- Oct 31, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsHansa Rostock
- Oct 31, 2026MSV DuisburgvsStuttgart II
- Oct 31, 2026Fortuna KölnvsWürzburger Kickers
- Oct 31, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Oct 31, 2026Alemannia AachenvsPreußen Münster
- Oct 31, 2026VerlvsSV Wehen
- Oct 31, 2026HavelsevsFC Ingolstadt 04