Verl vs SV Wehen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl
The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for SV Wehen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verl vs SV Wehen?
Verl starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; SV Wehen have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 0-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 2-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(away) | 0-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Preußen Münster(home) | 1-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Verl win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 SV Wehen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | SV Wehen 2-1 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Verl 2-2 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SV Wehen 0-1 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Verl 2-2 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| May 13, 2023 | SV Wehen 2-1 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Verl 1-1 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SV Wehen score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verl | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| SV Wehen | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and SV Wehen sit 20th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Verl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 | SV Wehen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verl vs SV Wehen?
- The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for SV Wehen.
- Where and when is Verl vs SV Wehen played?
- Verl vs SV Wehen is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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