Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, Garbsen
The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Havelse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
FC Ingolstadt 04 starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,825).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havelse have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 2-3 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Havelse win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04 3-2 Havelse | 3. Liga |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Havelse 2-6 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Havelse on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Havelse score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havelse | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havelse sit 17th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 | Havelse | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
- The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Havelse.
- Where and when is Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?
- Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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