Match

Vaqueros Reynosa vs Ciervos: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)

Vaqueros ReynosaCiervos

The Footlab AI model makes Vaqueros Reynosa the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vaqueros Reynosa vs Ciervos?

Vaqueros Reynosa starts as the favourite with a 297-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,554).

77%14%9%
Vaqueros Reynosa winDrawCiervos win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Vaqueros Reynosa vs Ciervos

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Vaqueros Reynosa

Not enough data to predict the Vaqueros Reynosa lineup.

Ciervos

Not enough data to predict the Ciervos lineup.

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:55 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Vaqueros Reynosa have 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Ciervos have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vaqueros Reynosa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Correcaminos UAT II(home)2-4Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 11, 2026Atlético Saltillo(home)2-1Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 4, 2026Real Apodaca(away)2-1Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 27, 2026Mineros de Fresnillo(home)2-1Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 20, 2026La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Cañoneros Marina(home)3-1Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 11, 2026Acambaro(away)2-5Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 3, 2026Halcones Negros(home)0-5Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 25, 2026Real Refineros(away)3-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Calor de San Pedro(away)0-4Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Vaqueros Reynosa score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 8; Ciervos score 1.0 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vaqueros Reynosa1.91.617/86/8
Ciervos1.02.708/1511/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vaqueros Reynosa sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (16 points from 7 matches) and Ciervos sit 9th (5 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Vaqueros Reynosa751113916
9Ciervos82068255

A question about Vaqueros Reynosa vs Ciervos?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vaqueros Reynosa vs Ciervos?
The Footlab AI model makes Vaqueros Reynosa the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Ciervos.
Where and when is Vaqueros Reynosa vs Ciervos played?
Vaqueros Reynosa vs Ciervos is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Vaqueros Reynosa and Ciervos

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