Torpedo Moskva vs Chelyabinsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Khimki, Khimki
The Footlab AI model makes Torpedo Moskva the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Chelyabinsk. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,263 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Chelyabinsk?
Torpedo Moskva starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torpedo Moskva vs Chelyabinsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torpedo Moskva
4-4-2- 20J. Okoronkwo
- 9S. Oganesyan
- 97M. Ćurić
- 24A. Pogosov
- 17I. Berkovskiy
- 5V. Moskvichev
- 4S. Borodin
- 2N. Bozov
- 99G. Shevchenko
- 44D. Kornyushin
- 25R. Soldatenko
Chelyabinsk
4-2-3-1- 10R. Gadzhimuradov
- 55G. Borisov
- 29M. Urvantsev
- 6S. Makarov
- 18K. Kertanov
- 77D. Samoylov
- 15K. Kochiev
- 21A. Berdnikov
- 50V. Lystsov
- 24N. Pridava
- 1I. Lomaev
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 11:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torpedo Moskva have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Chelyabinsk have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | FC UFA(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 4-2 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Torpedo Moskva wins, 1 draw, 1 Chelyabinsk win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelyabinsk 0-4 Torpedo Moskva | First League |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Chelyabinsk 0-1 Torpedo Moskva | First League |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Torpedo Moskva 2-3 Chelyabinsk | First League |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Torpedo Moskva 2-1 Chelyabinsk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Torpedo Moskva 1-1 Chelyabinsk | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torpedo Moskva score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chelyabinsk score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Moskva | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Chelyabinsk | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torpedo Moskva sit 3rd in First League (28 points from 15 matches) and Chelyabinsk sit 12th (15 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torpedo Moskva | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 28 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 15 |
A question about Torpedo Moskva vs Chelyabinsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torpedo Moskva vs Chelyabinsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torpedo Moskva the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Chelyabinsk.
- Where and when is Torpedo Moskva vs Chelyabinsk played?
- Torpedo Moskva vs Chelyabinsk is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Khimki, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.