Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Avangard, Domodedovo
The Footlab model makes Veles the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Volga Ulyanovsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Veles (1,844) and Volga Ulyanovsk (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Veles have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Volga Ulyanovsk have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Leningradets(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Veles win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Volga Ulyanovsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2025 | Veles 1-2 Volga Ulyanovsk | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Volga Ulyanovsk 3-2 Veles | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Veles 0-0 Volga Ulyanovsk | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Volga Ulyanovsk 1-0 Veles | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Veles 0-0 Volga Ulyanovsk | First League |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Volga Ulyanovsk 0-2 Veles | First League |
Last archived meeting: Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk on May 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Veles score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Volga Ulyanovsk score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veles | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Volga Ulyanovsk | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Veles sit 2nd in First League (18 points from 8 matches) and Volga Ulyanovsk sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Veles | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 14 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
- The Footlab model makes Veles the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Volga Ulyanovsk.
- Where and when is Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk played?
- Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Avangard, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.