Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Urozhaj, Karavaevo
The Footlab model makes Spartak Kostroma the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Ska-khabarovsk. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Spartak Kostroma starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Kostroma have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Ska-khabarovsk have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 2-4 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Veles(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ural(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC UFA(away) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Spartak Kostroma win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ska-khabarovsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk 1-3 Spartak Kostroma | First League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma 3-0 Ska-khabarovsk | First League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk 3-1 Spartak Kostroma | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Ska-khabarovsk 1-2 Spartak Kostroma | First League |
Last archived meeting: Ska-khabarovsk vs Spartak Kostroma on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Kostroma score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ska-khabarovsk score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Kostroma | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Ska-khabarovsk | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Kostroma sit 8th in First League (12 points from 7 matches) and Ska-khabarovsk sit 17th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spartak Kostroma | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Ska-khabarovsk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Kostroma the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Ska-khabarovsk.
- Where and when is Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk played?
- Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Urozhaj, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.