Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano played?

FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the Emperor Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano: prediction and stats

Emperor Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC Tokyo

Parceiro Nagano

The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 3-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano?

FC Tokyo is a heavy favourite: 2,001 Elo points against 1,595 — a 406-point gap.

FC Tokyo win85 %

Draw10 %

Parceiro Nagano win5 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Parceiro Nagano have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Tokyo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	2-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Vissel Kobe(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	1-5	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Parceiro Nagano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Fukui United(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Osaka(away)	2-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(home)	1-0	J3 League
Jun 5, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(away)	0-0	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FC Tokyo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Parceiro Nagano win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 21, 2017	FC Tokyo 1-1 Parceiro Nagano	Emperor Cup

Last archived meeting: FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano on Jun 21, 2017

How many goals should we expect?

FC Tokyo score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Tokyo	1.7	1.5	3	9/15	10/15
Parceiro Nagano	0.9	1.1	7	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano?: The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Parceiro Nagano.
Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano played?: FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the Emperor Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.