Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma played?

Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma is played on August 30, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano

Parceiro Nagano

Thespakusatsu Gunma

The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Parceiro Nagano (1,595) and Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,661).

Parceiro Nagano win32 %

Draw26 %

Thespakusatsu Gunma win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Parceiro Nagano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Fukui United(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Osaka(away)	2-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(home)	1-0	J3 League
Jun 5, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(away)	0-0	J2/J3 League

Thespakusatsu Gunma
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Tohoku Gakuin University(away)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Sagamihara(home)	1-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	Kanazawa(away)	1-4	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Parceiro Nagano win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 12, 2025	Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-0 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League
Mar 1, 2025	Parceiro Nagano 3-2 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J3 League
Aug 31, 2019	Thespakusatsu Gunma 3-2 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League
Jun 16, 2019	Parceiro Nagano 0-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J3 League
Jul 15, 2018	Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-1 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League
May 6, 2018	Parceiro Nagano 2-2 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Parceiro Nagano on Jul 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Parceiro Nagano	0.9	1.1	7	6/15	5/15
Thespakusatsu Gunma	1.7	2.0	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Parceiro Nagano sit 5th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Parceiro Nagano	3	2	0	1	4	4	6
20	Thespakusatsu Gunma	3	0	0	3	3	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?: The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Parceiro Nagano.
Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma played?: Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma is played on August 30, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.