Leixoes vs Felgueiras 1932: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Mar, Matosinhos
The Footlab model makes Felgueiras 1932 the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Leixoes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leixoes vs Felgueiras 1932?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Leixoes (1,916) and Felgueiras 1932 (1,932).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leixoes have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Felgueiras 1932 have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 6-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Farense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | AVS(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Leixoes win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Felgueiras 1932 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932 0-1 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Leixoes 3-0 Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Felgueiras 1932 4-0 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Leixoes 2-2 Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leixoes score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Felgueiras 1932 score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leixoes | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Felgueiras 1932 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leixoes sit 10th in Segunda Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Felgueiras 1932 sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leixoes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Felgueiras 1932 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leixoes vs Felgueiras 1932?
- The Footlab model makes Felgueiras 1932 the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Leixoes.
- Where and when is Leixoes vs Felgueiras 1932 played?
- Leixoes vs Felgueiras 1932 is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Mar, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.