Tondela vs Sporting CP B: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Sporting CP B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tondela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tondela vs Sporting CP B?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Tondela (2,003) and Sporting CP B (1,963).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tondela vs Sporting CP B
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tondela
4-2-3-1- 19Tómané
- 20Hugo Félix
- 7Cascavel
- 97Cícero
- 37Sarará
- 8Hélder Tavares
- 15Carraça
- 12Zé Ricardo
- 4Christian Marques
- 6Farru
- 28Araujo Carlos
Sporting CP B
4-2-3-1- 78Mauro Couto
- 40M. Tanlongo
- 96Samuel Justo
- 76Rodrigo Rodrigues
- 73Eduardo Felicíssimo
- 87Paulo Cardoso
- 95Lucas Taibo
- 50Rodrigo Dias
- 68Daniel Costa
- 85Rafael Mota
- 99Francisco Silva
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tondela have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sporting CP B have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(away) | 4-2 | Premier League International Cup |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Farense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tondela score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP B score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sporting CP B | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tondela sit 7th in Segunda Liga (12 points from 7 matches) and Sporting CP B sit 2nd (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
A question about Tondela vs Sporting CP B?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tondela vs Sporting CP B?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Sporting CP B.
- Where and when is Tondela vs Sporting CP B played?
- Tondela vs Sporting CP B is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio João Cardoso, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.