Fezzanese vs Sestri Levante: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Miro Luperi, Sarzana
The Footlab AI model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Fezzanese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sestri Levante wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fezzanese vs Sestri Levante?
Sestri Levante starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,739 vs 1,603).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fezzanese vs Sestri Levante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fezzanese
Not enough data to predict the Fezzanese lineup.
Sestri Levante
Not enough data to predict the Sestri Levante lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fezzanese have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Sestri Levante have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lascaris(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Millesimo(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alessandria(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valenzana(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celle Varazze(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Borgosesia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Fezzanese win, 0 draws, 3 Sestri Levante wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sestri Levante 0-3 Fezzanese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Fezzanese 0-3 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Sestri Levante 2-1 Fezzanese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Fezzanese 0-1 Sestri Levante | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Sestri Levante vs Fezzanese on Sep 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fezzanese score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sestri Levante score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fezzanese | 1.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Sestri Levante | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fezzanese sit 16th in Serie D - Girone A (7 points from 8 matches) and Sestri Levante sit 13th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sestri Levante | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Fezzanese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Fezzanese vs Sestri Levante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fezzanese vs Sestri Levante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Fezzanese.
- Where and when is Fezzanese vs Sestri Levante played?
- Fezzanese vs Sestri Levante is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Miro Luperi, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.