Figueirense vs Hercílio Luz: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Figueirense vs Hercílio Luz?
Figueirense won 1-0 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 59′Anderson ConceiçãoFigueirense
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Figueirense win at 46%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Figueirense have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Hercílio Luz have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Metropolitano(away) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Catarina(away) | 2-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nação(home) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Barra(home) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Maranhão(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Nação(home) | 2-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marcílio Dias(away) | 2-4 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Joinville(away) | 3-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Metropolitano(home) | 4-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nação(away) | 2-1 | Catarinense - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Figueirense wins, 4 draws, 2 Hercílio Luz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Figueirense 1-1 Hercílio Luz | Catarinense - 1 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Figueirense 0-1 Hercílio Luz | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Figueirense 0-0 Hercílio Luz | Catarinense - 1 |
| Sep 5, 2023 | Figueirense 1-1 Hercílio Luz | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Mar 22, 2023 | Hercílio Luz 0-0 Figueirense | Catarinense - 1 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Figueirense 0-1 Hercílio Luz | Catarinense - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Figueirense vs Hercílio Luz on Jan 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Figueirense score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hercílio Luz score 2.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Hercílio Luz | 2.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Figueirense vs Hercílio Luz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy