Finland vs Italy: result 1-2 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQualifying Round - 6Kick-off on September 8, 2019 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Helsingin olympiastadion, Helsingfors
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What was the result of Finland vs Italy?
Italy won 1-2 on September 8, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 59′C. ImmobileItaly
- 72′T. PukkiFinland (pen.)
- 79′JorginhoItaly (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Finland have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Italy have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2019 | Greece(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 11, 2019 | Liechtenstein(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 26, 2019 | Armenia(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Italy(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2019 | Armenia(away) | 3-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 11, 2019 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Greece(away) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 26, 2019 | Liechtenstein(home) | 6-0 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Finland(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Finland win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | Italy 2-0 Finland | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Finland score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finland | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 0/15 | 1/15 |
| Italy | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy